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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
TWO Current Status
...DEPRESSION CONTINUES DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD... ...AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE IT THIS EVENING...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 50 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
TWO Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- WIND - Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday.
- STORM SURGE - The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
- RAINFALL - The tropical depression is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches through Friday along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may produce areas of flash flooding, especially in urban areas.
- TORNADOES - An isolated tornado or two are possible over the Florida Big Bend region this afternoon and evening.
- SURF - Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
TWO Tracker
TWO Satellite Loop
TWO Alternate Tracking Map
TWO Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for TWO can be found here:
TWO Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression TWO Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory
166 WTNT32 KNHC 202048 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Two Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 ...DEPRESSION CONTINUES DRIFTING ERRATICALLY NORTHWESTWARD... ...AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA AIRCRAFT TO INVESTIGATE IT THIS EVENING... SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...28.7N 85.8W ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for... * Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Ochlockonee River Florida westward to the Jefferson/Plaquemines Parish border in Louisiana. A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life- threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48 hours. Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on Tuesday. For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Two was located near latitude 28.7 North, longitude 85.8 West. The depression is moving erratically toward the northwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A slow northwestward motion is expected through tonight and Tuesday morning, followed by a turn toward the west-northwest or west. On the forecast track, the depression will move near or along the northern Gulf coast during the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected for the next day or two, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later this afternoon or tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Two can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday. STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide... Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: The tropical depression is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches through Friday along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may produce areas of flash flooding, especially in urban areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Two, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero. TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two are possible over the Florida Big Bend region this afternoon and evening. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT. Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Beven
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Discussion
200 WTNT42 KNHC 202048 TCDAT2 Tropical Depression Two Discussion Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 The earlier aircraft mission into the depression found a minimum central pressure of 1005 mb and maximum flight-level winds of 34 kt. ASCAT data from the western part of the circulation showed winds below 35 kt, and the latest satellite intensity estimate from TAFB was 30 kt. Based on these, the depression has not yet reached tropical-storm strength and the initial intensity is held at 30 kt. The low-level center has been moving erratically most of the day, but the overall motion seems to be 305/3 kt. There is again little change in the track forecast reasoning. The depression is in light steering currents between two mid-level ridges, one to its northwest centered over the central U. S. and one to its southeast centered near the Bahamas. The U. S. ridge is expected to become a little more dominant of a steering feature as it builds eastward. The guidance is in overall agreement that the cyclone should move slowly northwestward to west-northwestward for 36 h or so, followed by a turn toward the west. However, there is some spread in the guidance in the first 36-48 h about how close the center comes to the northern Gulf Coast and how sharp the westward turn would be. The new forecast track lies between these two clusters of models and is a little to the north of the previous track. It should be noted that strong northeasterly shear is forecast over the cyclone, which could keep the center south of the forecast track due to the effects of convective bursts. However, there are models such as the ECMWF and Canadian that bring the system inland on the northern Gulf coast. The depression is experiencing moderate northeasterly shear, and these conditions should continue for another 18-24 h. It is likely that there will be convective bursts near and south of the center during this time, and these should help intensify the cyclone to a tropical storm. After that, the northeasterly shear should increase, and the global models suggest it will get strong enough to destroy the vertical integrity of the cyclone. This should halt intensification and then cause weakening. The new intensity forecast calls for a peak intensity of 45 kt in 36 h, and this is at the upper edge of the intensity guidance. The new forecast also calls for the system to weaken to a remnant low by 120 h, and based on the dynamical model guidance there is a possibility it could dissipate between 72-120 h due to shear and land interaction. It should be noted that the aforementioned shear is likely to give the cyclone a very asymmetric structure, with the bulk of the rainfall and much of the wind expected to occur to the south of the center. Key Messages: 1. The depression is expected to gradually strengthen and could bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to southeastern Louisiana Tuesday and Wednesday. 2. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for the Alabama, Mississippi, and southeastern Louisiana coasts, where a life-threatening storm surge is possible. 3. Interests elsewhere in Louisiana and Texas should monitor the progress of this system, as additional watches could be required for portions of that area tonight or Tuesday. 4. Areas of flash flooding will be possible through Friday along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western Florida north of Fort Myers to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/2100Z 28.7N 85.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/0600Z 29.0N 86.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 21/1800Z 29.3N 86.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 22/0600Z 29.6N 87.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 48H 22/1800Z 29.6N 88.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 23/0600Z 29.6N 89.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 72H 23/1800Z 29.5N 91.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND 96H 24/1800Z 29.5N 93.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...OVER WATER 120H 25/1800Z 29.4N 96.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND $$ Forecaster Beven
TWO storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 28.7, -85.8 | ||
| 35 knots | 29.0, -86.2 | ||
| 40 knots | 29.3, -86.7 | ||
| 45 knots | 29.6, -87.5 | ||
| 40 knots | 29.6, -88.5 | ||
| 35 knots | 29.6, -89.8 | INLAND | |
| 30 knots | 29.5, -91.1 | INLAND | |
| 25 knots | 29.5, -93.9 | translation missing: en.OVER WATER | |
| 20 knots | 29.4, -96.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROP/INLAND |
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