Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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NOLO Current Status
...NOLO CROSSING THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY FROM NHC...
Current Wind Speed 100 knots / 115 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 110 knots / 125 MPH at
NOLO Land Hazards
- SURF - Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next few days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from your local weather office.
NOLO Tracker
NOLO Satellite Loop
NOLO Alternate Tracking Map
NOLO Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for NOLO can be found here:
NOLO Watches and Warnings
Hurricane NOLO Tropical Cyclone Update
Hurricane NOLO Public Advisory
000 WTPA32 PHFO 042037 TCPCP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number 57 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP152026 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM HST Sun Oct 04 2026 ...NOLO CROSSING THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY FROM NHC... SUMMARY OF 1100 AM HST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...24.2N 180.0E ABOUT 395 MI...640 KM WSW OF LISIANSKI ISLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 AM HST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located near latitude 24.2 North, longitude 180.0 West. Nolo is moving toward the west near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a general westward motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Nolo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Additional strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, before a weakening trend begins around the middle part of the week. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 959 mb (28.32 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Large swell associated with Nolo will continue to affect the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next few days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future advisories will be issued by RSMC Tokyo, Japan. Advisories issued by RSMC Tokyo are found on the web at: www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.htm For U.S.interests, see advisories issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in Honolulu, Hawaii. Advisories issued by JTWC can be found on the web at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html $$ Forecaster Kelly
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Hurricane NOLO Forecast Discussion
000 WTPA42 PHFO 042038 TCDCP2 Hurricane Nolo Discussion Number 57 NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI EP152026 Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM HST Sun Oct 04 2026 Recent visible and infrared imagery show that outer rainbands have developed over the western semicircle, and Nolo is no longer exhibiting annular appearance. Shortly after the previous advisory, infrared imagery showed warming of the cloud tops and a thinning of the inner core convection over the southwestern quadrant. The eye has become more cloud filled and not as warm with an eye temperature around 7 C. A recent GMI microwave pass shows that the inner core is vertically aligned and perhaps the recent satellite degradation could just be a brief lull. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates range from 95 to 102 kt. Based on a blend of these data, the initial intensity is maintained at 100 kt. The initial motion is estimated to be westward, or 280/15 kt. Nolo is expected to continue being steered generally westward by a strong subtropical ridge located to its north. Over the next several days, the hurricane should maintain a similar or slightly slower forward speed along this heading. By the end of the forecast period, Nolo is forecast to reach the western periphery of the aforementioned ridge, which should cause the cyclone to slow down and turn west-northwestward to northwestward. The latest NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous and lies near the HCCA and GDMI track aids. Nolo is currently situated within a favorable environment, with warm sea surface temperatures and low vertical wind shear, some slight strengthening is possible over the next 18 to 24 hours. Between 24 and 36 hours, the cyclone is forecast to move into an area of increasing vertical wind shear and a much drier mid-level airmass. The combination of strong shear and dry air entrainment will induce a steady weakening trend through the middle-to-end of the week. The NHC intensity forecast remains on the high end of the guidance suite through the short term, leaning closest to the regional hurricane models, before trending back toward the various consensus aids by the end of the forecast period. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Future advisories will be issued by RSMC Tokyo, Japan. Advisories issued by RSMC Tokyo are found on the web at: www.jma.go.jp/jma/jma-eng/jma-center/rsmc-hp-pub-eg/RSMC_HP.htm For U.S. interests, see advisories issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) in Honolulu, Hawaii. Advisories issued by JTWC can be found on the web at: www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 04/2100Z 24.2N 180.0E 100 KT 115 MPH 12H 05/0600Z 24.8N 177.7E 110 KT 125 MPH 24H 05/1800Z 25.2N 174.6E 110 KT 125 MPH 36H 06/0600Z 25.1N 170.9E 95 KT 110 MPH 48H 06/1800Z 25.2N 166.4E 85 KT 100 MPH 60H 07/0600Z 25.7N 162.3E 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 07/1800Z 26.2N 158.2E 60 KT 70 MPH 96H 08/1800Z 27.8N 152.0E 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 09/1800Z 29.4N 149.7E 55 KT 65 MPH $$ Forecaster Kelly
NOLO storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100 knots | 24.2, 180.0 | ||
| 110 knots | 24.8, 177.7 | ||
| 110 knots | 25.2, 174.6 | ||
| 95 knots | 25.1, 170.9 | ||
| 85 knots | 25.2, 166.4 | ||
| 70 knots | 25.7, 162.3 | ||
| 60 knots | 26.2, 158.2 | ||
| 55 knots | 27.8, 152.0 | ||
| 55 knots | 29.4, 149.7 |
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