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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for RACHEL can be found here:
RACHEL spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ33 KNHC 111442 TCPEP3 BULLETIN Remnants Of Rachel Advisory Number 58 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 800 AM MST Sun Oct 11 2026 ...REMNANTS OF RACHEL BRINGING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...35.8N 114.6W ABOUT 255 MI...415 KM NNE OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has discontinued all coastal warnings. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Rachel were located near latitude 35.8 North, longitude 114.6 West. The remnants are moving toward the north-northeast near 29 mph (46 km/h). Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Rachel can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP3 and WMO header WTPZ43 KNHC. WIND: High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are in effect across the southwestern United States. Gusty winds associated with the remnants of Rachel are spreading over interior portions of the southwestern United States, especially in areas of higher terrain, today and tomorrow. For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office. RAINFALL: Rachel and its associated moisture will bring total rainfall of 1 to 3 inches, with maximum amounts locally up to 5 inches from Southern California into the Great Basin and portions of the Southwest United States through today. This will continue to lead to the potential for significant flash and urban flooding. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Rachel, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep3.shtml?ero. SURF: Waves generated by Rachel will continue along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California today. These waves, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves coincide with the high tides and water levels that are already running well above predicted levels. Moderate to major coastal flooding is expected, with hazardous coastal conditions continuing the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For more information, Please consult products from your local weather office at https://www.weather.gov/ Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php . $$ Forecaster Kelly
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTPZ43 KNHC 111444 TCDEP3 Remnants Of Rachel Discussion Number 58 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP182026 800 AM MST Sun Oct 11 2026 Satellite images and surface observations indicate that Rachel has dissipated over the southwestern United States, and this is the last NHC advisory. However, the remnants of Rachel are still producing areas of heavy rain and gusty winds over portions of the southwestern U.S. The initial intensity is estimated to be around 30 kt. The remnant trough is forecast to continue to weaken, but the associated moisture will likely produce heavy rainfall, flooding, and gusty winds across the Southwest U.S. today and tonight. This is the last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For more information on hazards associated with the Remnants of Rachel, Please consult products from your local weather office at https://www.weather.gov/ Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php Key Messages: 1. Damaging wind gusts, especially in areas of higher terrain, are forecast to spread farther inland over interior portions of the southwestern United States today. High Wind Warnings and Wind Advisories are in effect across the southwestern United States. 2. Areas of heavy rainfall from the remnants of Rachel and its associated moisture will continue to result in the potential for significant flash and urban flooding today from Southern California into the Great Basin and portions of the Southwest United States. 3. Waves generated by Rachel, combined with an incoming long-period southerly swell, will produce life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coasts of Southern California and northern Baja California. Major coastal flooding has already been occurring in some areas, with observed water levels running as much as 1.5 feet above predictions. Coastal flooding and erosion are expected to worsen this morning as the highest waves associated with Rachel coincide with high tides and already elevated water levels. Hazardous coastal conditions are expected to continue the next few days. Please consult products from your local weather office. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 35.8N 114.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Kelly
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 35.8, -114.6 | ||
| 0 knots | DISSIPATED |
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