Cyclocane
(cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker)
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09U Current Status
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 80 knots / MPH at
09U Land Hazards
09U Tracker
09U Satellite Loop
09U Alternate Tracking Map
Alternate tracking maps are only available on NHC tracked storms.
09U Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for 09U can be found here:
09U Watches and Warnings
The Watches and Warnings Map is only availble on NHC tracked storms.
Tropical Low 09U Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Low 09U Public Advisory
IDW27600 TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - WESTERN REGION Issued by PERTH TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 1829 UTC 12/02/2016 Name: Tropical Low Identifier: 09U Data At: 1800 UTC Latitude: 11.5S Longitude: 96.3E Location Accuracy: within 45 nm [85 km] Movement Towards: southwest [231 deg] Speed of Movement: 6 knots [12 km/h] Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h] Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h] Central Pressure: 998 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.0/D0.5/24HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1008 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 180 nm [335 km] FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure [UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa +06: 13/0000: 11.9S 95.8E: 055 [105]: 030 [055]: 996 +12: 13/0600: 12.4S 95.2E: 070 [130]: 035 [065]: 994 +18: 13/1200: 13.0S 94.6E: 080 [150]: 040 [075]: 992 +24: 13/1800: 13.5S 93.9E: 095 [175]: 045 [085]: 990 +36: 14/0600: 14.9S 92.3E: 115 [210]: 055 [100]: 984 +48: 14/1800: 16.4S 90.5E: 135 [245]: 065 [120]: 977 +60: 15/0600: 17.6S 88.6E: 155 [285]: 080 [150]: 966 +72: 15/1800: 18.5S 86.7E: 170 [320]: 080 [150]: 960 +96: 16/1800: 19.3S 82.2E: 215 [400]: 080 [150]: 960 +120: 17/1800: 20.3S 78.3E: 300 [560]: 080 [150]: 959 REMARKS: Dvorak at 0900 UTC. Using shear pattern, low level centre was about 1.25 degrees from edge of cloud on visible imagery. DT was 2.0. Could also get 0.2 to 0.3 curved band wrap. At 1200 UTC. Curved band wrap of 0.3 gives a DT of 2.0. Trend was D with MET/PAT of 2.0. FT/CI was 2.0. Cocos Island Airport at 1200 UTC reported mean winds of 24 knots [10 minute average]. Intensity set to 30 knots. At 1800 UTC. Curved band wrap of 0.3/0.4 gives a DT of 2.0 to 2.5. Trend was D with MET/PAT of 2.0. FT/CI was 2.0. Cocos Island Airport at 1800 UTC reported mean winds of 21 knots [10 minute average]. Intensity set to 30 knots 09U has continued a general southwest track, being steered by a mid level ridge to the southeast. Model guidance is in good agreement with a continued southwest track over the next 24 to 48 hours. There is a good upper divergence with good poleward outflow. CIMMS shear at 09 UTC showed strong easterly shear between 30 and 40 knots. As the system moves towards the southwest conditions become more favourable for development with the shear decreasing. Gales may develop to the south of the system before it reaches tropical cyclone intensity during Saturday. Fresh to strong winds are currently being observed at Cocos Island Airport. The risk of gales on the Cocos [Keeling] Islands continues until Saturday afternoon or evening. After this time the system is likely to intensify further but be moving far enough away from the islands. Based on the current track, the system will move into La Reunion's area of responsibility between 1200 and 1800 UTC 14 February. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 13/0100 UTC by Perth TCWC.
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Low 09U Forecast Discussion
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
09U storm path from BOM - PERTH
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | -11.5, 96.3 | ||
| 30 knots | -11.9, 95.8 | ||
| 35 knots | -12.4, 95.2 | ||
| 40 knots | -13.0, 94.6 | ||
| 45 knots | -13.5, 93.9 | ||
| 55 knots | -14.9, 92.3 | ||
| 65 knots | -16.4, 90.5 | ||
| 80 knots | -17.6, 88.6 | ||
| 80 knots | -18.5, 86.7 | ||
| 80 knots | -19.3, 82.2 | ||
| 80 knots | -20.3, 78.3 |
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