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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 45 knots / 52 MPH at
Spaghetti models for WATI can be found here:
WTPS31 PGTW 190900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 01P (WATI) WARNING NR 007//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01P (WATI) WARNING NR 007
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
190600Z --- NEAR 20.7S 156.8W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 110 DEGREES AT 21 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.7S 156.8W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191800Z --- 23.6S 151.3W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
190900Z POSITION NEAR 21.4S 155.4W.
19OCT26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 01P (WATI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 171
NM EAST OF RAROTONGA, HAS TRACKED EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 21 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS A RAPIDLY DECOUPLING SYSTEM, WITH A PARTIALLY EXPOSED
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) DISPLACED TO THE NORTHWEST OF AN
AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION AND MID-LEVEL ROTATION THAT IS BEING SHEARED
TO THE SOUTHEAST BY STRONG NORTHWEST VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS). A
090435Z SSMIS 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALED THE EXPOSED LLCC AND
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE INITIAL POSITION IS
ASSESSED WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON EXTRAPOLATION OF THE LLCC
SEEN IN THE MICROWAVE IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ASSESSED WITH
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE BASED ON A BLEND OF AVAILABLE SUBJECTIVE AND
OBJECTIVE INTENSITY ESTIMATES WHICH RANGED FROM 35-55 KNOTS. 01P WILL
CONTINUE TO ACCELERATE SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN FLANK OF A
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PHASE SPACE DIAGRAMS AND PHASE CLASSIFICATION WORKSHEETS SUGGEST THE
SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY SUBTROPICAL IN NATURE, OR HAS ALREADY BEGUN
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT). OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS, THE SYSTEM
WILL MOVE INTO PHASE WITH A 500MB TROUGH AND MOVE UNDER THE JET
STREAM, AND COMPLETE ETT AS A GALE-FORCE LOW PRESSURE AREA.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 190600Z IS 999
MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190600Z IS 22 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 knots | -20.7, -156.8 | ||
| 40 knots | -23.6, -151.3 |
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