Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Hurricane Time Machine

ODETTE Current Status

...ODETTE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 40 knots / 45 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 55 knots / 65 MPH at

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

current US watches/warnings

map of current weather alerts in the United States

current radar loop

NWS weather radar loop of the coastal areas

If you're looking for other US radar loops, check out Radar Monster.

future radar imagery

future radar image of the Atlantic Ocean basin showing future possible storms and future locations of current storms

(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)

If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.

ODETTE Land Hazards

NWS Local Hurricane Statements

ODETTE Tracker

ODETTE Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE from wisc.edu

ODETTE Alternate Tracking Map

ODETTE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for ODETTE can be found here:

ODETTE spaghetti models page »

ODETTE Watches and Warnings

National Hurricane Center image showing current coastal watches and warnings and future ODETTE predicted path

Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE Public Advisory

000
WTNT35 KNHC 182034
TCPAT5
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Advisory Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152021
500 PM AST Sat Sep 18 2021
 
...ODETTE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.1N 65.1W
ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
Please refer to products issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre
for Odette's potential impacts to Newfoundland as a post-tropical
cyclone.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette
was located near latitude 39.1 North, longitude 65.1 West.  Odette 
is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this 
general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected 
through Sunday.  A turn toward the east and east-southeast with a 
decrease in forward speed is expected on Monday and Tuesday.  On 
the forecast track, the center of Odette will pass well south of 
Atlantic Canada tonight through Monday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Odette are affecting portions of the
United States Mid-Atlantic coast and are expected to spread
northward to portions of the U.S. Northeast and Atlantic Canada
coasts during the weekend.  These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather 
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE Forecast Discussion

221 
WTNT45 KNHC 182034
TCDAT5
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Discussion Number   5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL152021
500 PM AST Sat Sep 18 2021
 
Odette appears to have completed extratropical transition, perhaps 
a little earlier than the global models want to admit.  The cyclone 
has developed a frontal structure similar to that of a bent back 
occlusion, with cold-air stratocumulus clouds advecting eastward 
to the south of the center behind the trailing cold front.  In 
addition, the remaining deep convection is closer to the system's 
triple point than multiple-swirled center of circulation.  The 
initial intensity is highly uncertain since all three ASCAT 
instruments completely missed the area where the strongest winds 
were likely to have been occurring, and it is held at 40 kt based on 
continuity.

The post-tropical cyclone has turned to the east-northeast and is 
moving a little faster--now with a motion of 060/16 kt.  Additional 
acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours while Odette is 
embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies.  After 24 hours, Odette is 
expected to detach from the prevailing flow, which will cause the 
cyclone to slow down and meander southeast of Newfoundland by days 
3 through 5.  The track guidance has shifted slightly southward on 
this cycle, and the NHC forecast follows that trend and continues 
to hedge toward a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF models.

Now that Odette is extratropical, global models indicate that 
baroclinic forcing should support strengthening and expanding of 
the gale-force wind field during the next couple of days.  During 
this evolution, the strongest winds will also migrate to the 
northern and western side of the circulation.  The frontal low is 
expected to occlude in about 3 days, coincident with the beginning 
of its meandering motion, and that occlusion process should cause a 
slow weakening of the winds through the end of the forecast period. 
One caveat is that some of the models have been hinting that the 
occluded low could redevelop deep convection near the center and 
transition to a tropical or subtropical cyclone, but there has not 
been enough consistency among the guidance to explicitly make that 
forecast.  If the system's forecast track continues to shift 
southward toward warmer waters on days 3 through 5, that scenario 
could become a stronger possibility.

Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette is forecast to affect portions
of Newfoundland with strong winds and heavy rainfall Sunday and
Monday.  Please refer to products from the Canadian Hurricane
Centre for additional information on potential impacts in
Newfoundland.
 
This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center 
on Odette.  Additional information on this system can be found in 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under 
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  18/2100Z 39.1N  65.1W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 12H  19/0600Z 40.5N  62.1W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 24H  19/1800Z 41.9N  58.0W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 36H  20/0600Z 42.3N  54.4W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 48H  20/1800Z 41.8N  51.3W   50 KT  60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 60H  21/0600Z 40.7N  48.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  21/1800Z 40.0N  47.2W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  22/1800Z 41.4N  47.5W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
120H  23/1800Z 43.2N  48.8W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 
$$
Forecaster Berg

ODETTE storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
40 knots 39.1, -65.1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
45 knots 40.5, -62.1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
50 knots 41.9, -58.0 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
55 knots 42.3, -54.4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
50 knots 41.8, -51.3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
45 knots 40.7, -48.9 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
40 knots 40.0, -47.2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
40 knots 41.4, -47.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
30 knots 43.2, -48.8 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE


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