Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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IMELDA Current Status
...IMELDA FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD BERMUDA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE ISLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING...
Current Wind Speed 75 knots / 85 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 85 knots / 100 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
IMELDA Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- WIND - Hurricane conditions are expected over Bermuda by Wednesday evening, with tropical storm conditions likely by Wednesday afternoon.
- RAINFALL - Across Bermuda, 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) of rainfall are expected from Wednesday into Thursday, which could lead to flash flooding.
- STORM SURGE - In Bermuda, a dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves.
- SURF - Swells generated by Hurricane Imelda and Hurricane Humberto are affecting the Bahamas, Bermuda, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
IMELDA Tracker
IMELDA Satellite Loop
IMELDA Alternate Tracking Map
IMELDA Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for IMELDA can be found here:
IMELDA spaghetti models page »
IMELDA Watches and Warnings
Hurricane IMELDA Tropical Cyclone Update
Hurricane IMELDA Public Advisory
286 WTNT34 KNHC 010241 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Hurricane Imelda Advisory Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025 ...IMELDA FORECAST TO ACCELERATE TOWARD BERMUDA... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO THE ISLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.7N 73.9W ABOUT 565 MI...915 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...977 MB...28.85 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Bermuda A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Imelda was located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 73.9 West. Imelda is moving toward the east-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h). A much faster east-northeast to northeast motion is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the core of the hurricane will be near Bermuda Wednesday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. Imelda is then expected to become an extratropical low in a couple of days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). The estimated minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters is 977 mb (28.85 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hurricane Imelda can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected over Bermuda by Wednesday evening, with tropical storm conditions likely by Wednesday afternoon. RAINFALL: Across Bermuda, 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) of rainfall are expected from Wednesday into Thursday, which could lead to flash flooding. STORM SURGE: In Bermuda, a dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds. The surge will be accompanied by large and damaging waves. SURF: Swells generated by Hurricane Imelda and Hurricane Humberto are affecting the Bahamas, Bermuda, and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT. Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Hurricane IMELDA Forecast Discussion
020 WTNT44 KNHC 010244 TCDAT4 Hurricane Imelda Discussion Number 18 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 1100 PM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025 Satellite images show that Imelda has developed a ragged large eye feature with deep convection wrapping around its western side. The strongest thunderstorms are currently confined to the northwest quadrant. Despite the structural change, the Air Force Hurricane Hunters have found that the minimum pressure and maximum winds are about the same as earlier. Based on that data, the initial intensity is held at 75 kt. This estimate is notably above the latest satellite estimates. Imelda is starting to pick up some forward speed and continues to bend to the right, with the latest motion estimated to be 070/12 kt. A much faster east-northeast to northeast motion is expected soon in the strong flow ahead of a large-scale trough, in which Humberto is embedded within. This motion should take the core of Imelda near Bermuda Wednesday evening, but weather conditions there will likely begin to deteriorate Wednesday afternoon. After that, a turn to the northeast over the open Atlantic is expected. No significant changes were made to the previous track forecast, and this one lies near the middle of the guidance envelope. Imelda is expected to strengthen overnight and Wednesday as the hurricane approaches Bermuda. The intensification will likely be due to a combination of tropical and non-tropical forcing, and it could become a category 2 hurricane when it is near the island. The models suggest that Imelda will complete extratropical transition in about two days when it merges with a mid- to upper-level trough and the remnants of Humberto. The system is expected to gradually decay after the transition. Imelda is also expected to significantly grow in size over the next few days, which will cause the ongoing high surf and swells to persist over a large portion of the central and western Atlantic. KEY MESSAGES: 1. Imelda is expected to bring damaging hurricane-force winds when it passes near or over Bermuda Wednesday afternoon or evening. A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the island. 2. Imelda is expected to produce heavy rainfall that could cause flash flooding across Bermuda Wednesday into Thursday. Large and damaging waves are also expected on the island. 3. Swells and high surf from both Humberto and Imelda are expected to produce dangerous marine conditions and rip currents along much of the East Coast of the United States during the next several days. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0300Z 29.7N 73.9W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 01/1200Z 30.7N 70.9W 85 KT 100 MPH 24H 02/0000Z 32.2N 65.7W 85 KT 100 MPH 36H 02/1200Z 33.9N 60.0W 85 KT 100 MPH 48H 03/0000Z 35.4N 54.4W 80 KT 90 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 03/1200Z 37.9N 50.3W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 04/0000Z 39.9N 48.2W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 05/0000Z 45.4N 41.2W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 06/0000Z 51.6N 30.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
IMELDA storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 knots | 29.7, -73.9 | ||
| 85 knots | 30.7, -70.9 | ||
| 85 knots | 32.2, -65.7 | ||
| 85 knots | 33.9, -60.0 | ||
| 80 knots | 35.4, -54.4 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 70 knots | 37.9, -50.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 60 knots | 39.9, -48.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 50 knots | 45.4, -41.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 40 knots | 51.6, -30.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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