Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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VINCE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 65 knots / 75 MPH at 2025-02-12T00:00:00.000Z

VINCE Land Hazards

VINCE Tracker

VINCE Satellite Loop

VINCE Alternate Tracking Map

VINCE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for VINCE can be found here:

VINCE spaghetti models page »

VINCE Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL CYCLONE VINCE Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL CYCLONE VINCE Public Advisory

WTXS32 PGTW 120300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE) WARNING NR 022//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE) WARNING NR 022    
   03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   120000Z --- NEAR 30.0S 70.3E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 170 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   REPEAT POSIT: 30.0S 70.3E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   121200Z --- 32.9S 72.1E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   SUBTROPICAL
   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                            140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
    ---
REMARKS:
120300Z POSITION NEAR 30.7S 70.7E.
12FEB25. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (VINCE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 922
NM SOUTHEAST OF PORT LOUIS, MAURITIUS, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWARD AT
11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
IMAGERY REVEALS A HIGHLY SHEARED SYSTEM WITH CONVECTION
POLEWARD AND EASTWARD OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER.
THE ENVIRONMENT IS UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT DUE TO
UNFAVORABLE 30KT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
BETWEEN 24-25C. THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST CONTINUE TO ROUND
THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST. THE ALREADY COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES
WILL ALLOW THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN. AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SOUTHWARD,
TC 13S WILL BECOME FURTHER EMBEDDED WITHIN AN UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH, RESULTING IN ELEVATED SHEAR ABOVE 35KTS THAT WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE, CONTRIBUTING TO THE COMPLETION OF
SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. THIS IS
THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT
120000Z IS 967 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 120000Z
IS 26 FEET. REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (TALIAH) WARNINGS
(WTXS33 PGTW) FOR TWELEVE-HOURLY UPDATES.
REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (ZELIA) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL CYCLONE VINCE Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

VINCE storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-02-12T00:00:00.000Z	65 knots	-30.0, 70.3
2025-02-12T12:00:00.000Z	55 knots	-32.9, 72.1

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