Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

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* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with

Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

South Indian valid 2025-08-21T18:00:00.000Z
North Indian valid 2025-08-21T18:00:00.000Z
South Pacific valid 2025-08-21T06:00:00.000Z
low Northwest Pacific valid 2025-08-21T06:00:00.000Z
Central Pacific valid 2025-08-20T18:00:00.000Z
low medium Atlantic valid 2025-08-20T18:00:00.000Z
Eastern Pacific valid 2025-08-20T18:00:00.000Z
Fiji valid 2025-05-17T23:05:00.000Z
high Australia - Western Region valid 2022-05-07T19:08:00Z
Australia - Northern Region valid 2022-04-30T04:45:00Z
Australia - Eastern Region valid 2022-04-30T04:30:00Z

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 20AUG25 0000Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18W (EIGHTEEN) WAS 
LOCATED NEAR 29.4N 127.4E, APPROXIMATELY 251 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF 
SASEBO, JAPAN, AND HAD TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 
SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 30 KNOTS 
GUSTING TO 40 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTPN32 PGTW 200300) FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
11.2N 137.3E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 132.2E, APPROXIMATELY 672 NM 
EAST OF MANILA, PHILIPPINES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY 
(MSI) AND A 200417Z AMSR2 37GHZ PASS DEPICT A BROAD, HIGHLY 
DISORGANIZED TROPICAL WAVE LIKE FEATURE WITH PERSISTENT, FLARING 
CONVECTION AND MID-LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING. A 200114Z ASCAT-C 25KM PASS 
DEPICTS A TROPICAL WAVE WITH 05-15 KNOT WINDS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS 
REVEALS A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND 
SHEAR (VWS) OF 5-10 KNOTS, MODERATE DUAL-CHANNEL OUTFLOW, WARM SEA 
SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF (SST) OF 29-30 C. DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLES 
ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT ON INTENSITY BUT SHOW CONFIDENCE ON A 
NORTHWESTWARD TRACK TOWARDS LUZON, PHILIPPINES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL 
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
REMAINS LOW.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN

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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 3:08 am WST on Sunday 8 May 2022
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 10 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil

Potential Cyclones:  

Tropical Cyclone Karim (36U) was located near 9.5S 90.1E at 2am WST Sunday,
just to the north of the Western Region. It is forcast to move into the region
during Sunday morning.

TC Karim will to continue moving towards the south to southeast over the coming
days. It is expected to maintain tropical cyclone intensity until it weakens in
the middle of the week, over open waters well to the west of the WA mainland.

TC Karim is expected to remain far enough west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands
for there to be no direct impacts from this system, however shower and
thunderstorm activity should continue into early next week.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          High       
Tuesday         High       


No other significant lows are expected in the region for at least the next 7
days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
within the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows currently in the region and none are
expected for the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Eastern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 172100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 172305 UTC.

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC

870 
ABPZ20 KNHC 201745
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 20 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC

743 
ABNT20 KNHC 201743
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 20 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Erin, located over the northwestern Atlantic Ocean.

Near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Leeward 
Islands continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers 
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could 
form by this weekend while it moves near or to the north of the 
northern Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL99):
Satellite-derived surface wind data from earlier today revealed that 
a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms located several 
hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands lacks a closed 
surface circulation.  Environmental conditions appear marginally 
favorable for additional development over the next day or so while 
the system moves west-southwestward at around 15 mph and a 
short-lived tropical depression could form.  By the end of the 
week, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable 
for further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Bucci

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC

ACPN50 PHFO 201745
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM HST Wed Aug 20 2025

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Bucci
NNNN

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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific

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Hurricane Forecast | Tropical Storm Risk | Hurricane Spaghetti Models | Cyclone and Hurricane Names

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