Cyclocane

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Tropical Storm Risk - Tropical Weather Outlook

With the exception of the Central Pacific Basin, all tropical storm outlook areas are automatically displayed on the main Cyclocane map as well as on this page.

Detailed Tropical Weather Outlooks by Ocean Basin

Tropical Storm Potential for the next 48 hours

Below is the Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability for the next 48 hours per the RAMMB.

tropical cyclone potential the next 48 hours

Indian Ocean Tropical Storm Risk

Indian Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

North Indian Ocean

1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Indian Ocean

2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN
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Northwest Pacific and South Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

West Pacific and South Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the JTWC

Northwest Pacific Ocean

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 08OCT25 0600Z, TYPHOON 28W (HALONG) WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.5N 
137.8E, APPROXIMATELY 293 NM SOUTH OF CAMP FUJI, AND HAD TRACKED 
NORTHEASTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 120 KNOTS GUSTING TO 145 KNOTS. SEE REF 
A (WTPN32 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 08OCT25 0600Z, TROPICAL DEPRESSION 29W (NAKRI) WAS LOCATED 
NEAR 19.0N 138.5E, APPROXIMATELY 381 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF IWO TO, AND 
HAD TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS GUSTING TO 35 
KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTPN31 PGTW 080900) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
18.4N 138.9E IS NOW THE SUBJECT OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING. SEE PARA. 
1.A.(2) FOR FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

South Pacific Ocean

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
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Australia - Western Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDW10800
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Western Australia

Updated Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Western Region
Issued at 3:08 am WST on Sunday 8 May 2022
for the period until midnight WST Tuesday 10 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Western Region:

Nil

Potential Cyclones:  

Tropical Cyclone Karim (36U) was located near 9.5S 90.1E at 2am WST Sunday,
just to the north of the Western Region. It is forcast to move into the region
during Sunday morning.

TC Karim will to continue moving towards the south to southeast over the coming
days. It is expected to maintain tropical cyclone intensity until it weakens in
the middle of the week, over open waters well to the west of the WA mainland.

TC Karim is expected to remain far enough west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands
for there to be no direct impacts from this system, however shower and
thunderstorm activity should continue into early next week.

Likelihood of this system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          High       
Tuesday         High       


No other significant lows are expected in the region for at least the next 7
days.

Likelihood of another system being a tropical cyclone in the Western Region on:
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The Western Region refers to the Indian Ocean between Longitudes 90-125E and
south of 10S.



Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Northern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDD10610
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region, including the Gulf of Carpentaria
Issued at 2:15 pm CST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight CST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Northern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant lows in the region and none are expected to develop
within the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Northern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Northern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Ocean area south of 9S, between
125E and 142E, including the Gulf of Carpentaria, but excluding the area around
Timor (northwest of 11S 125E, 11S 128E, 9S 128E).


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

Australia - Eastern Region Tropical Storm Risk

IDQ10810
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for Coral Sea
Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 30 April 2022
for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 3 May 2022.

Existing Cyclones in the  Eastern Region:

Nil.

Potential Cyclones:  

There are no significant tropical lows currently in the region and none are
expected for the next 7 days.

Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Sunday          Very Low   
Monday          Very Low   
Tuesday         Very Low   


This will be the final Tropical Cyclone Outlook for the Eastern Region until 1
November 2022.

NOTES: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day.
Very Low:     less than 5%                 Moderate:     20 to 50%
Low:          5% to 20%                    High:         over  50%

The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.


Copyright Commonwealth of Australia 2011, Bureau of Meteorology (ABN 92 637 533
532).  Users of these web pages are deemed to have read and accepted the
conditions described in the Copyright, Disclaimer, and Privacy statements
(http://www.bom.gov.au/other/copyright.shtml).

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Fiji Tropical Storm Risk

WWPS21 NFFN 172100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI May 172305 UTC.

NO SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE AREA.

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Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Eastern Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 081739
TWOEP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 8 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja 
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Priscilla, located a 
couple of hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the 
Baja California Peninsula.

South of Southern Mexico (EP90):
A large and persistent area of showers and thunderstorms remains 
disorganized near and to the west of a small area of low pressure 
located just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico.  
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development 
over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
late this week if the system remains over water.  The disturbance is 
forecast to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, roughly 
parallel to the coast of southern and southwestern Mexico, and 
interests there should monitor its progress.  Regardless of 
development, the disturbance is expected to produce periods of heavy 
rainfall along portions of the southern and southwestern coasts of 
Mexico through the end of the week, which could lead to localized 
flooding.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen

Atlantic Tropical Storm Risk

Atlantic Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the NHC
000
ABNT20 KNHC 081728
TWOAT 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Jerry, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the 
northern Leeward Islands.

Bay of Campeche:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue with a trough of low 
pressure moving westward across the Bay of Campeche.  The system is 
expected to move inland over Mexico tonight, and therefore its 
opportunity for any development will be ending soon.  Regardless, 
areas of heavy rain and gusty winds are likely across portions of 
southern Mexico during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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Central Pacific Tropical Storm Risk

Central Pacific Ocean Tropical Weather Outlook from the CPHC
ACPN50 PHFO 081739
TWOCP 

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM HST Wed Oct 08 2025

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Octave, located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Priscilla, located a
couple of hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California Peninsula.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

$$
Forecaster Hagen
NNNN
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Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Atlantic

Servicio Meteorológico Nacional - Eastern Pacific


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