Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.
SEVEN-E Current Status
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA...
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at
SEVEN-E Land Hazards
SEVEN-E Tracker
SEVEN-E Satellite Loop
SEVEN-E Alternate Tracking Map
SEVEN-E Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for SEVEN-E can be found here:
SEVEN-E spaghetti models page »
SEVEN-E Watches and Warnings
Tropical Depression SEVEN-E Tropical Cyclone Update
Tropical Depression SEVEN-E Public Advisory
334 WTPZ32 KNHC 181432 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Seven-E Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 800 AM MST Sun Aug 18 2024 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF BAJA CALIFORNIA... SUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.6N 110.7W ABOUT 575 MI...925 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Seven-E was located near latitude 14.6 North, longitude 110.7 West. The depression is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and a slightly slower westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. The depression is forecast to remain well away from land throughout the week. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow strengthening is expected during the next few days, and the system could become a tropical storm tonight or on Monday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 200 PM MST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Tropical Depression SEVEN-E Forecast Discussion
000 WTPZ42 KNHC 181433 TCDEP2 Tropical Depression Seven-E Discussion Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072024 800 AM MST Sun Aug 18 2024 The low pressure system well south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has now developed a well-defined center and sufficiently organized deep convection. These criteria indicate a new tropical depression has formed, the seventh one of the 2024 East Pacific hurricane season. The initial intensity is set at 30 kt, based on a Dvorak 2.0 classification from TAFB. Moderate easterly vertical wind shear of 15-20 kt is confining most of the thunderstorm activity to the western half of the circulation, and since the shear is expected to persist through tonight, only a little strengthening seems likely in the short-term. The shear should lessen beginning early Monday, and the more favorable upper-level wind environment combined with warm waters and a relatively moist atmosphere should allow for gradual strengthening throughout much of the week. The NHC intensity forecast is closest to the HCCA guidance. The initial motion is uncertain since the system has just formed, but the best estimate is 290/11 kt. A high pressure ridge situated to the system’s north should cause the cyclone to move westward to west-northwestward at about the same speed during the next few days. Later in the week, the models show the ridge weakening as a trough amplifies off the west coast of the U.S., which could cause the system to slow down. The models are in fair agreement with the exception of the GFS, which shows a much slower motion likely due to the interaction with a disturbance to its west. At this point, that model seems unrealistic so it is being discounted for now. The NHC track forecast is in best agreement with the ECMWF and HCCA aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 18/1500Z 14.6N 110.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 19/0000Z 15.0N 112.3W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 19/1200Z 15.4N 114.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 20/0000Z 15.8N 116.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 20/1200Z 16.0N 118.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 60H 21/0000Z 16.2N 120.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 72H 21/1200Z 16.5N 121.8W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 22/1200Z 17.1N 124.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 120H 23/1200Z 17.9N 126.5W 60 KT 70 MPH $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
SEVEN-E storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 knots | 14.6, -110.7 | ||
| 30 knots | 15.0, -112.3 | ||
| 35 knots | 15.4, -114.4 | ||
| 40 knots | 15.8, -116.5 | ||
| 40 knots | 16.0, -118.3 | ||
| 45 knots | 16.2, -120.1 | ||
| 50 knots | 16.5, -121.8 | ||
| 55 knots | 17.1, -124.6 | ||
| 60 knots | 17.9, -126.5 |
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