Cyclocane

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PAULETTE Current Status

Current Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 35 knots / 40 MPH at 2020-09-23T03:00:00.000Z

Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite

PAULETTE Land Hazards

PAULETTE Tracker

PAULETTE Satellite Loop

PAULETTE Alternate Tracking Map

PAULETTE Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for PAULETTE can be found here:

PAULETTE spaghetti models page »

PAULETTE Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE Public Advisory

000
WTNT31 KNHC 230236
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette Advisory Number  44
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
300 AM GMT Wed Sep 23 2020
 
...PAULETTE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FOR THE SECOND TIME...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.8N 20.0W
ABOUT 445 MI...720 KM ESE OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Paulette was located near latitude 34.8 North, longitude 20.0 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 12 mph (19
km/h). An eastward to east-northeastward motion is forecast through 
midday Wednesday. A decrease in the forward motion along with turns 
to the southeast then south are expected late Wednesday through 
Thursday. A west-southwestward motion is forecast to begin by late 
this week.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
Slow weakening is forecast, and the post-tropical cyclone is 
expected to become a remnant low by Wednesday morning.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Paulette.  Additional information on this system can be 
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2.
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone PAULETTE Forecast Discussion

000
WTNT41 KNHC 230236
TCDAT1
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette Discussion Number  44
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL172020
300 AM GMT Wed Sep 23 2020
 
Paulette has been devoid of deep convection since early Tuesday,
and the shallow convection mentioned in the previous advisory has
also waned.  Therefore, Paulette has again become a post-tropical
cyclone, and this is the last NHC advisory on this system.  Recent 
ASCAT data showed that the system still had a small area of 35 kt 
winds so the initial intensity is held at that value.  The 
post-tropical cyclone will be moving over waters of 22-23 degrees 
Celsius and remain within an area of moderate vertical wind 
shear.  This should result in gradual weakening over the next 
couple of days.
 
The post-tropical cyclone continues to move eastward or 080/10 kt.
This motion is forecast to continue through midday Wednesday, but a
reduction is forward speed is expected by Wednesday night as the 
system becomes vertically shallow.  The remnant low is expected to 
turn southward in 24-36 hours, with a faster west-southwestward 
motion anticipated later in the forecast period when it becomes 
embedded within the low-level northeasterly flow.
 
This is the last NHC advisory on Paulette.  Additional information
on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo
France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
metarea2.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  23/0300Z 34.8N  20.0W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  23/1200Z 35.2N  18.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  24/0000Z 35.4N  17.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  24/1200Z 35.1N  17.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  25/0000Z 34.0N  19.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  25/1200Z 33.0N  21.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  26/0000Z 32.5N  26.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  27/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Brown

PAULETTE storm path from NHC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2020-09-23T03:00:00.000Z	35 knots	34.8, -20.0	translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
2020-09-23T12:00:00.000Z	30 knots	35.2, -18.3	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-24T00:00:00.000Z	30 knots	35.4, -17.2	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-24T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	35.1, -17.2	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-25T00:00:00.000Z	25 knots	34.0, -19.1	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-25T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	33.0, -21.7	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-26T00:00:00.000Z	25 knots	32.5, -26.0	POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
2020-09-27T00:00:00.000Z	0 knots		translation missing: en.DISSIPATED

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