( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
Spaghetti models for MILTON can be found here:
MILTON spaghetti models page »
000 WTNT34 KNHC 102034 TCPAT4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton Advisory Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 500 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 ...STORM SURGE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR MILTON HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.5N 76.3W ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM NNE OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND ABOUT 710 MI...1140 KM WSW OF BERMUDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 80 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All Storm Surge and Tropical Storm Warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton was located near latitude 29.5 North, longitude 76.3 West. Milton is moving toward the east near 21 mph (33 km/h), and this general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next several days. On the forecast track, the center of the post-tropical cyclone will pass to the south of Bermuda late Friday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional weakening is forecast during the next several days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key Messages for Milton can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml STORM SURGE: Coastal flooding is expected to continue along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast through tonight. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas... Altamaha Sound, GA to Port Canaveral, FL...1-3 ft St. Johns River...1-3 ft For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?peakSurge. RAINFALL: Additional rainfall amounts up to an inch are possible along the northeastern coast of Florida through this evening. In the wake of heavy rainfall from Milton, the risk of considerable urban flooding will linger through this evening across east central Florida. Moderate to major river flooding is ongoing and forecast throughout central Florida. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Milton, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ero. WIND: Gusty winds will likely continue along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast through tonight. SURF: Swells generated by Milton are expected to continue to affect portions of the southeast U.S. and the Bahamas during the next couple of days. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
000 WTNT44 KNHC 102035 TCDAT4 Post-Tropical Cyclone Milton Discussion Number 23 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142024 500 PM EDT Thu Oct 10 2024 Milton's satellite appearance has continued to take on an extratropical appearance, and ASCAT data from a few hours ago confirmed that the cyclone has become frontal. Based on that information, Milton was declared post tropical in the 2 pm intermediate advisory. The ASCAT passes showed maximum winds of 55-60 kt to the northwest of the center, so the initial intensity is set to 60 kt. Milton has turned eastward and sped up a bit (080/18 kt). A general eastward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next several days, with the extratropical low forecast to pass south of Bermuda in 24-36 hours. Global model fields and intensity models indicate that the intensity should gradually decrease during the next several days, and this is reflected in the official forecast. Dissipation is shown by day 4, although there is still some uncertainty if Milton will become absorbed by the frontal zone before that time, or retain its identity beyond 4 days. Since all storm surge and tropical storm warnings have been discontinued, this will be the last advisory on Milton. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Key Messages: 1. Gusty winds and coastal flooding will gradually diminish along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast through tonight. 2. In the wake of heavy rainfall from Milton, the risk of considerable urban flooding will linger through this evening across east central Florida. Moderate to major river flooding is ongoing and forecast throughout central Florida. 3. In Florida, continue to use caution since deadly hazards remain, including downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are properly ventilated and placed outside at least 20 feet away from doors, windows, and garages to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. If you are cleaning up storm damage, be careful when using chainsaws and power tools, and drink plenty of water to avoid heat exhaustion. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 10/2100Z 29.5N 76.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 11/0600Z 29.6N 72.8W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 11/1800Z 29.8N 67.4W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 12/0600Z 30.4N 62.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 12/1800Z 31.0N 58.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 13/0600Z 32.1N 54.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 13/1800Z 33.7N 49.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 14/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Berg
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
60 knots | 29.5, -76.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
60 knots | 29.6, -72.8 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
50 knots | 29.8, -67.4 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
40 knots | 30.4, -62.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
35 knots | 31.0, -58.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
30 knots | 32.1, -54.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 33.7, -49.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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