Cyclocane

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IVO Current Status

...IVO HEADING WESTWARD...

Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 60 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 60 MPH at

IVO Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

IVO Tracker

IVO Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Tropical Storm IVO from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Tropical Storm IVO from wisc.edu

IVO Alternate Tracking Map

IVO Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for IVO can be found here:

IVO spaghetti models page »

IVO Watches and Warnings

Tropical Storm IVO Tropical Cyclone Update

Tropical Storm IVO Public Advisory

219 
WTPZ34 KNHC 090839
TCPEP4
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092025
200 AM MST Sat Aug 09 2025
 
...IVO HEADING WESTWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.6N 112.4W
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was
located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 112.4 West. Ivo is
moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h).  A westward to
west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is forecast for the next few days and Ivo is 
expected to become post-tropical by Sunday night.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
from the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Ivo will continue to affect the southern
portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or so.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Tropical Storm IVO Forecast Discussion

023 
WTPZ44 KNHC 090839
TCDEP4
 
Tropical Storm Ivo Discussion Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP092025
200 AM MST Sat Aug 09 2025
 
Ivo is having intermittent bursts of deep convection since the last 
advisory.  An ASCAT pass from 0412 UTC showed the center of the 
small circulation near the northeastern edge of the CDO.  Subjective 
and objective satellite intensity estimates have generally decreased 
in recent hours and the initial intensity is lowered to 50 kt for 
this cycle.  

The storm is moving westward at 8 kt.  A general westward to 
west-northwestward motion is anticipated through the forecast period 
while Ivo is steered along the southern side of a ridge positioned 
to its north.  The track guidance has shifted poleward this cycle, 
and the latest official forecast lies on the southern side of the 
envelope between the ECMWF to its south and the simple consensus aid 
TVCE to its north.

Ivo is currently crossing a cooling gradient of sea surface 
temperatures and moving towards a dry and stable airmass.  The storm 
is expected to gradually weaken through the weekend, until it 
becomes a post-tropical cyclone sometime Sunday night or Monday 
morning.  The NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted lower based 
on the decrease in initial intensity and is in the middle of the 
guidance envelope.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  09/0900Z 20.6N 112.4W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  09/1800Z 20.9N 113.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  10/0600Z 21.3N 115.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  10/1800Z 21.7N 117.1W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  11/0600Z 22.0N 119.3W   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 60H  11/1800Z 22.1N 121.5W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  12/0600Z 22.2N 123.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci

IVO storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
50 knots 20.6, -112.4
45 knots 20.9, -113.4
45 knots 21.3, -115.1
40 knots 21.7, -117.1
35 knots 22.0, -119.3 POST-TROPICAL
30 knots 22.1, -121.5 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 22.2, -123.7 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots DISSIPATED


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