( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with
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Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 60 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 60 MPH at
Spaghetti models for IVO can be found here:
219 WTPZ34 KNHC 090839 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Ivo Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 200 AM MST Sat Aug 09 2025 ...IVO HEADING WESTWARD... SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.6N 112.4W ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Ivo was located near latitude 20.6 North, longitude 112.4 West. Ivo is moving toward the west near 9 mph (15 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast for the next few days and Ivo is expected to become post-tropical by Sunday night. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Ivo will continue to affect the southern portion of the Baja California peninsula during the next day or so. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
023 WTPZ44 KNHC 090839 TCDEP4 Tropical Storm Ivo Discussion Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092025 200 AM MST Sat Aug 09 2025 Ivo is having intermittent bursts of deep convection since the last advisory. An ASCAT pass from 0412 UTC showed the center of the small circulation near the northeastern edge of the CDO. Subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates have generally decreased in recent hours and the initial intensity is lowered to 50 kt for this cycle. The storm is moving westward at 8 kt. A general westward to west-northwestward motion is anticipated through the forecast period while Ivo is steered along the southern side of a ridge positioned to its north. The track guidance has shifted poleward this cycle, and the latest official forecast lies on the southern side of the envelope between the ECMWF to its south and the simple consensus aid TVCE to its north. Ivo is currently crossing a cooling gradient of sea surface temperatures and moving towards a dry and stable airmass. The storm is expected to gradually weaken through the weekend, until it becomes a post-tropical cyclone sometime Sunday night or Monday morning. The NHC intensity forecast has been adjusted lower based on the decrease in initial intensity and is in the middle of the guidance envelope. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/0900Z 20.6N 112.4W 50 KT 60 MPH 12H 09/1800Z 20.9N 113.4W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 10/0600Z 21.3N 115.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 10/1800Z 21.7N 117.1W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 11/0600Z 22.0N 119.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 60H 11/1800Z 22.1N 121.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 12/0600Z 22.2N 123.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
50 knots | 20.6, -112.4 | ||
45 knots | 20.9, -113.4 | ||
45 knots | 21.3, -115.1 | ||
40 knots | 21.7, -117.1 | ||
35 knots | 22.0, -119.3 | POST-TROPICAL | |
30 knots | 22.1, -121.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 22.2, -123.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | DISSIPATED |
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