Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
HILARY Current Status
...CONTINUED LIFE-THREATENING AND LOCALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. TODAY... ...NEXT ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER...
Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 30 MPH at
HILARY Land Hazards
- RAINFALL - Post-Tropical Hilary is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated storm total amounts to 12 inches, across portions of Southern California and Southern Nevada through today. Continued flash and urban flooding, locally catastrophic, is expected.
- WIND - Post-tropical Hilary is still expected to produce strong and gusty winds in and near areas of elevated terrain today.
- SURF - Large swells will continue to affect portions of the Baja California Peninsula and southern California through this morning. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.
HILARY Tracker
HILARY Satellite Loop
HILARY Alternate Tracking Map
HILARY Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for HILARY can be found here:
HILARY spaghetti models page »
HILARY Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone HILARY Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone HILARY Public Advisory
000 WTPZ34 KNHC 210846 TCPEP4 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Hilary Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP092023 200 AM PDT Mon Aug 21 2023 ...CONTINUED LIFE-THREATENING AND LOCALLY CATASTROPHIC FLOODING EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN U.S. TODAY... ...NEXT ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER... SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...38.3N 117.9W ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM N OF SAN DIEGO CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: All coastal warnings have been discontinued. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. For storm information specific to your area in the United States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM PDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hilary was located near latitude 38.3 North, longitude 117.9 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north near 29 mph (46 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. On the forecast track, the center of post-tropical Hilary will move quickly across Nevada today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Post-tropical Hilary is forecast to dissipate later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Hilary can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP4 and WMO header WTPZ44 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDEP4.shtml. RAINFALL: Post-Tropical Hilary is expected to produce additional rainfall amounts of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated storm total amounts to 12 inches, across portions of Southern California and Southern Nevada through today. Continued flash and urban flooding, locally catastrophic, is expected. Across portions of Oregon and Idaho, rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches with local maxima to 5 inches are expected through Tuesday morning, resulting in localized, some significant, flash flooding. A list of rainfall observations compiled by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center for this storm can be found at: www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html WIND: Post-tropical Hilary is still expected to produce strong and gusty winds in and near areas of elevated terrain today. SURF: Large swells will continue to affect portions of the Baja California Peninsula and southern California through this morning. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Post-tropical Hilary. Future information on this system can be found in Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 800 AM PDT, under AWIPS header TCPEP4, WMO header WTPZ34 KWNH, and on the web at www.hurricanes.gov. $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone HILARY Forecast Discussion
ZCZC NFDTCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM Post-Tropical Cyclone Hilary Discussion Number 22 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD EP092023 200 PM PDT Mon Aug 21 2023 KEY MESSAGES: 1. Locally heavy rains and isolated flooding impacts are possible across northern portions of the Intermountain West into Tuesday morning. 2. Strong, gusty winds in Nevada, western Utah, southern Idaho, and southwest Montana. The strongest gusts will be favored in higher terrain, passes, and canyons, as well as in proximity to thunderstorms. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/2100Z 44.6N 115.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 22/0600Z 47.7N 111.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...DISSIPATED $$ Carbin NNNN
HILARY storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 knots | 44.6, -115.5 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 20 knots | 47.7, -111.6 | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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