( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
Hayley here - Do you like lofi music whatever music Hayley put on and terrifyingly loud computer voices? Then stop by the 24/7 ish severe weather live stream!
* stats delayed and were probably not accurate to begin with
English Español Deutsch Français 日本語
This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 50 knots / 58 MPH at
Spaghetti models for GEZANI can be found here:
GEZANI spaghetti models page »
WTXS32 PGTW 172100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GEZANI) WARNING NR 021//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GEZANI) WARNING NR 021
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
171800Z --- NEAR 31.5S 42.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 195 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.5S 42.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 34.2S 41.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 170 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
181800Z --- 36.9S 42.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
SUBTROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
---
REMARKS:
172100Z POSITION NEAR 32.2S 42.0E.
17FEB26. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (GEZANI), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 567
NM SOUTH OF EUROPA ISLAND, HAS TRACKED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 14
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR)
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S WITH A SHALLOW,
FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 171551Z RCM-1
SAR IMAGE REVEALED MAXIMUM WINDS OF AROUND 55-60 KTS WITHIN THE
EASTERN SEMCIRCLE. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 50 KTS IS ASSESSED WITH
HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE SLIGHT HIGH BIAS OF THE RCM-1 SENSOR.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE ANALYZED TO BE UNFAVORABLE BASED ON
STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW GREATLY OFFSET BY HIGH (25-30 KTS) VERTICAL
WIND SHEAR, SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT, AND COOL (24-25 C) SEA
SURFACE TEMPERATURES. 21S IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTHWARD OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH STEADY WEAKENING AS IT CONTINUES TO FEEL THE
EFFECTS OF THE HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT. SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION IS
FORECAST TO COMPLETE WITHIN 12 HOURS AS THE VORTEX CONTINUES TO
SHALLOW OUT AND INTERACTS WITH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES OF AROUND
22-23 C. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 171800Z IS
991 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 171800Z IS 24 FEET.//
NNNN Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 knots | -31.5, 42.1 | ||
| 45 knots | -34.2, 41.7 | ||
| 40 knots | -36.9, 42.2 |
site by Hayley Croft
Hi, I'm Hayley. Did you know that I run this site out of my own pocket? So if you'd like to help support this site:
Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.
Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.