Cyclocane

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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

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This storm is unnamed. If the information appears to be out of date, its name may have changed, so visit the main page for the latest information.

FOURTEEN Current Status

Current Wind Speed 25 knots / 29 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 25 knots / 29 MPH at 2025-08-04T12:00:00.000Z

visible satellite loop of TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN from wisc.edu

FOURTEEN Land Hazards

Northwest Pacific Weather Warnings

Taiwan Central Weather Bureau: no warnings
Hong Kong Observatory: no warnings

FOURTEEN Tracker

FOURTEEN Satellite Loop

FOURTEEN Alternate Tracking Map

FOURTEEN Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FOURTEEN can be found here:

FOURTEEN spaghetti models page »

FOURTEEN Watches and Warnings

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN Tropical Cyclone Update

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN Public Advisory

WTPN33 PGTW 041500
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN) WARNING NR 003    
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   041200Z --- NEAR 28.1N 161.9E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 28.1N 161.9E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   050000Z --- 28.5N 160.2E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 07 KTS
    ---
   24 HRS, VALID AT:
   051200Z --- 29.3N 158.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
041500Z POSITION NEAR 28.2N 161.5E.
04AUG25. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14W (FOURTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY 588 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF WAKE ISLAND, HAS TRACKED
WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED PROXY VISIBLE 
(PROXYVIS) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPCICTS A COMPACT AND RAGGED LOW LEVEL 
CIRCUALTION CENTER (LLCC) COMPLETELY DEVOID OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY, 
SMOTHERED UNDER A DEEP LAYER OF DRY AIR. A 041024Z ASCAT-B PASS 
REVEALS A VERY SMALL CUSP FEATURE, WITH NO CLEAR EARTH-RELATIVE 
WESTERLIES ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION AND A VERY SMALL 
PATCH OF 25 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE GRADIENT ON THE EASTERN FLANK. THE 
INITIAL POSITION IS ASSESSED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EXPOSED 
LLCC IN THE PROXYVIS IMAGERY. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS ALSO ASSESSED 
WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE AFOREMENTIONED SCATTEROMETER PASS. 
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDTIONS ARE HIGHLY UNFAVORABLE, WITH MODERATE TO HIGH 
NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR, VERY DRY AIR ALOFT AND A LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT 
OUTFLOW. TD 14W IS FORECAST TO TRACK GENERALL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD 
THROUGH THE SHORT DURATION OF THE FORECAST WHILE CONTINUING TO WEAKEN 
BELOW WARNING CRITERIA WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS 
SPLIT ON THE DIRECTION TD 14W WILL TAKE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH 
THE GFS AND GEFS SHOWING A TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST WHILE THE ECMWF AND 
ECENS TRACK NORTHWEST. THE JTWC FORECAST FOLLOWS THE ECMWF SOLUTION 
WITH MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.
THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR
SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 041200Z IS
1008 MB. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041200Z IS 10 FEET.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13W (BAILU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN Forecast Discussion

Forecast Discussion not available for this storm.

FOURTEEN storm path from JTWC

Time	Speed	Location	Status
2025-08-04T12:00:00.000Z	25 knots	28.1, 161.9	dissipating
2025-08-05T00:00:00.000Z	20 knots	28.5, 160.2	dissipated
2025-08-05T12:00:00.000Z	20 knots	29.3, 158.8	dissipated

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