Cyclocane

( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )

new youtube channel - we've just launched a new experimental youtube channel.

English Español Deutsch Français 日本語

This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.

Go to the main page to see active storms.

Hurricane Time Machine

FERNANDA Current Status

...FERNANDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...

Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH

Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at

FERNANDA Land Hazards

México
Avisos y Alertas
Guatemala
Boletín Meteorológico Informativo
Belize
El Salvador
Informes Especiales

FERNANDA Tracker

FERNANDA Satellite Loop

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone FERNANDA from wisc.edu

visible satellite loop of Post-Tropical Cyclone FERNANDA from wisc.edu

FERNANDA Alternate Tracking Map

FERNANDA Spaghetti Models

Spaghetti models for FERNANDA can be found here:

FERNANDA spaghetti models page »

FERNANDA Watches and Warnings

Post-Tropical Cyclone FERNANDA Tropical Cyclone Update

Post-Tropical Cyclone FERNANDA Public Advisory

000
WTPZ32 KNHC 171450
TCPEP2
 
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernanda Advisory Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072023
500 AM HST Thu Aug 17 2023
 
...FERNANDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 132.2W
ABOUT 1515 MI...2440 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone 
Fernanda was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 132.2 West. 
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 
km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 
few days.
 
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with 
higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next couple 
of days, and Fernanda is likely to dissipate by the weekend.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).

 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci

Public Advisory not available for this storm.

Post-Tropical Cyclone FERNANDA Forecast Discussion

190 
WTPZ42 KNHC 171450
TCDEP2
 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernanda Discussion Number  20
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP072023
500 AM HST Thu Aug 17 2023
 
Fernanda has lacked convective activity since yesterday evening and 
is therefore considered a post-tropical cyclone.  With no 
convective activity, Dvorak estimates are no longer a reliable 
source for intensity guidance.  The initial intensity is lowered to 
30 kt for this advisory largely based on the trend in geostationary 
satellite imagery.  An occasional burst of convection is still 
possible given 25-26 degrees C sea surface temperatures along the 
forecast track of Fernanda. Model guidance indicates the cyclone 
will continue to weaken in an increasingly dry and stable 
environment for the next few days and is likely to dissipate by 
day 3. 

The remnant low is moving westward at 13 kt.  This general motion 
is expected to continue for the next few days as the system is 
steered by the low-level flow around a ridge to its north.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.  Those 
forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO 
header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at 
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  17/1500Z 16.4N 132.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
 12H  18/0000Z 16.4N 134.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  18/1200Z 16.4N 136.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  19/0000Z 16.4N 139.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  19/1200Z 16.3N 141.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 60H  20/0000Z 16.4N 144.4W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  20/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Bucci

FERNANDA storm path from NHC

Time Speed Location Status
30 knots 16.4, -132.2 translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL
25 knots 16.4, -134.1 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 16.4, -136.6 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
25 knots 16.4, -139.2 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 16.3, -141.7 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
20 knots 16.4, -144.4 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
0 knots translation missing: en.DISSIPATED


Hurricane Forecast   |   Tropical Storm Risk   |   Hurricane Spaghetti Models   |   Cyclone and Hurricane Names

Cyclocane   |   National Hurricane Center   |   Joint Typhoon Warning Center   |   Japan Meteorological Agency

site by Hayley Croft

Want to help support this site?

Make a monthly donation or a one-time donation to help support ongoing costs with Cyclocane.

Play solitaire and track all of the cyclocane storms at the same time at Hurricane Solitaire.