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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 30 knots / 35 MPH at
Spaghetti models for FERNANDA can be found here:
FERNANDA spaghetti models page »
000 WTPZ32 KNHC 171450 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernanda Advisory Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072023 500 AM HST Thu Aug 17 2023 ...FERNANDA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...16.4N 132.2W ABOUT 1515 MI...2440 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernanda was located near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 132.2 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Fernanda is likely to dissipate by the weekend. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. $$ Forecaster Bucci
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
190 WTPZ42 KNHC 171450 TCDEP2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernanda Discussion Number 20 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072023 500 AM HST Thu Aug 17 2023 Fernanda has lacked convective activity since yesterday evening and is therefore considered a post-tropical cyclone. With no convective activity, Dvorak estimates are no longer a reliable source for intensity guidance. The initial intensity is lowered to 30 kt for this advisory largely based on the trend in geostationary satellite imagery. An occasional burst of convection is still possible given 25-26 degrees C sea surface temperatures along the forecast track of Fernanda. Model guidance indicates the cyclone will continue to weaken in an increasingly dry and stable environment for the next few days and is likely to dissipate by day 3. The remnant low is moving westward at 13 kt. This general motion is expected to continue for the next few days as the system is steered by the low-level flow around a ridge to its north. For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Those forecasts can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 17/1500Z 16.4N 132.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 18/0000Z 16.4N 134.1W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 18/1200Z 16.4N 136.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 19/0000Z 16.4N 139.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 19/1200Z 16.3N 141.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 20/0000Z 16.4N 144.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
30 knots | 16.4, -132.2 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
25 knots | 16.4, -134.1 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 16.4, -136.6 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
25 knots | 16.4, -139.2 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 16.3, -141.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
20 knots | 16.4, -144.4 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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