Cyclocane
( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
ERNESTO Current Status
...ERNESTO BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...
Current Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 60 knots / 70 MPH at
Current Watches/Warnings / Radar / Satellite
current US watches/warnings
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
future radar imagery
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
ERNESTO Land Hazards
NWS Local Hurricane Statements
- No warnings
- SURF - Swells generated by post-tropical Ernesto are affecting the northeast coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada. The swells and associated life-threatening surf and rip current conditions should gradually subside during the next day or so. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards.
ERNESTO Tracker
ERNESTO Satellite Loop
ERNESTO Alternate Tracking Map
ERNESTO Spaghetti Models
Spaghetti models for ERNESTO can be found here:
ERNESTO spaghetti models page »
ERNESTO Watches and Warnings
Post-Tropical Cyclone ERNESTO Tropical Cyclone Update
Post-Tropical Cyclone ERNESTO Public Advisory
000 WTNT35 KNHC 201436 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Ernesto Advisory Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 300 PM GMT Tue Aug 20 2024 ...ERNESTO BECOMES A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...49.0N 44.7W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM ENE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 37 MPH...59 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB...29.15 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ernesto was located near latitude 49.0 North, longitude 44.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 37 mph (59 km/h), and an even faster east-northeastward motion is expected during the next day or two. Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher gusts. Some weakening is expected tonight and on Wednesday, and post-tropical Ernesto is forecast to merge with a frontal system and dissipate by late Wednesday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 987 mb (29.15 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by post-tropical Ernesto are affecting the northeast coast of the United States and Atlantic Canada. The swells and associated life-threatening surf and rip current conditions should gradually subside during the next day or so. Please consult products from your local weather office, and stay out of the water if advised by lifeguards. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Ernesto. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Reinhart
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
Post-Tropical Cyclone ERNESTO Forecast Discussion
000 WTNT45 KNHC 201437 TCDAT5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Ernesto Discussion Number 36 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052024 300 PM GMT Tue Aug 20 2024 Strong southwesterly vertical wind shear and cold sea-surface temperatures have caused Ernesto to lose tropical characteristics this morning. The cyclone lacks organized convection, and the low-level center is becoming exposed as dry air wraps into the circulation. Also, GFS phase diagrams indicate Ernesto no longer has a warm-core structure. Thus, it appears the cyclone has completed its transition to a post-tropical cyclone. Despite these structural changes, nearby ship observations indicate Ernesto remains a powerful cyclone with storm-force winds in its southern semicircle. Based on these observations, the initial intensity is set at 60 kt. The post-tropical cyclone is moving quickly northeastward (055/32 kt) within the flow between a deep-layer trough over the north Atlantic and a subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic. An even faster east-northeastward motion is forecast through Wednesday as the cyclone remains embedded within strong steering currents. The system is forecast to merge with a frontal system and become extratropical by tonight, and the low should dissipate on Wednesday over the northeastern Atlantic. Although some weakening is expected during the next day or so, the cyclone will maintain a large wind field to the south of its center. This is the last NHC advisory on Ernesto. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 20/1500Z 49.0N 44.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 21/0000Z 50.5N 36.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 21/1200Z 52.8N 23.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Reinhart
ERNESTO storm path from NHC
| Time | Speed | Location | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 knots | 49.0, -44.7 | translation missing: en.POST-TROPICAL | |
| 50 knots | 50.5, -36.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 40 knots | 52.8, -23.3 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
| 0 knots | translation missing: en.DISSIPATED |
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