( cyclocane is a CYCLOne and hurriCANE tracker by hayley )
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This is the final warning / advisory for this storm as it has weakened below warning levels and/or the storm system is no longer a tropical cyclone.
Current Wind Speed 80 knots / 90 MPH
Max Predicted Wind Speed 85 knots / 100 MPH at
live tornado/thunderstorm tracker - tornadohq
future radar imagery - my future radar
(above image is an example of the Western North Atlantic page - see Atlantic future radar page for a full set of images)
If a tropical storm or hurricane is threatening land, you can check my future radar for an idea of what radar might look like as the storm approaches.
Spaghetti models for ERIN can be found here:
000 WTNT35 KNHC 222030 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Advisory Number 46 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 500 PM AST Fri Aug 22 2025 ...ERIN BECOMES POST-TROPICAL, THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY... ...SWIMMING AT MANY U.S. EAST COAST BEACHES IS LIKELY TO REMAIN DANGEROUS THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...40.0N 59.7W ABOUT 605 MI...970 KM NNE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 375 MI...605 KM SSE OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 33 MPH...54 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...957 MB...28.26 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 59.7 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near 33 mph (54 km/h). This general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected later today, followed by a turn back to the northeast on Sunday. On the forecast track, the center of Erin will pass south of Atlantic Canada today and tonight, and then race across the north Atlantic waters. Maximum sustained winds remain near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Erin is likely to remain a large and powerful hurricane-force low pressure system through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 435 miles (705 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 957 mb (28.26 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Erin can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC. WIND: Gale-force wind gusts are possible along portions of the coast of Nova Scotia today and the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland on Saturday. SURF: Swells generated by Erin will affect the Bahamas, Bermuda, the east coast of the United States, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. These rough ocean conditions are expected to cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. Please consult products from your local weather forecast office for more information. A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents STORM SURGE: Some coastal flooding is expected at times of high tide along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts through tonight, making some roads impassable. See updates from your local National Weather Service office for details. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Blake
Public Advisory not available for this storm.
849 WTNT45 KNHC 222032 TCDAT5 Post-Tropical Cyclone Erin Discussion Number 46 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 500 PM AST Fri Aug 22 2025 Erin has now become a powerful extratropical low. While there is still deep convection near the center, scatterometer data clearly shows that Erin has become frontal. Thus, extratropical transition has been completed, and this is the last NHC advisory. The initial intensity remains 80 kt based on the multiple earlier scatterometer winds near 70 kt, with very large gale- and storm-force wind-radii noted. While the general track and intensity forecast is about the same as before, one specific marine hazard to highlight is the consistent development of a strong sting jet in the southern semicircle of Erin by Sunday, as well as a very large hurricane-force wind field. Model guidance now suggest that a maximum of 80-90 kt is possible, and the NHC intensity forecast is raised to 85 kt then. No other noteworthy changes were made to the previous forecast. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php KEY MESSAGES: 1. Erin will continue to produce life-threatening surf and rip currents along the beaches of the Bahamas, much of the east coast of the U.S., Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during the next few days. Beachgoers in those areas should follow advice from lifeguards, local authorities, and beach warning flags. 2. Some coastal flooding is expected at times of high tide along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts through tonight, making some roads impassable. Large waves along the coast could also cause significant beach erosion and overwash. 3. Gale-force wind gusts are possible along the coast of Nova Scotia today and the Avalon Peninsula of Newfoundland on Saturday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 22/2100Z 40.0N 59.7W 80 KT 90 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 12H 23/0600Z 41.5N 54.5W 80 KT 90 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 24H 23/1800Z 44.0N 45.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 36H 24/0600Z 48.0N 35.5W 75 KT 85 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 48H 24/1800Z 52.0N 27.0W 85 KT 100 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 60H 25/0600Z 55.0N 23.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 72H 25/1800Z 58.0N 21.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 96H 26/1800Z 59.0N 21.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 27/1800Z 57.0N 17.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Blake
Time | Speed | Location | Status |
---|---|---|---|
80 knots | 40.0, -59.7 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
80 knots | 41.5, -54.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
75 knots | 44.0, -45.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
75 knots | 48.0, -35.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
85 knots | 52.0, -27.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
65 knots | 55.0, -23.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
55 knots | 58.0, -21.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
45 knots | 59.0, -21.0 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE | |
40 knots | 57.0, -17.5 | POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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